Tuesday’s congressional elections ended up being far nearer than many political analysts anticipated, and with many ballots but to be counted in key contests, social gathering management of Congress — significantly the Senate — stays unsure.

Here’s what we all know to date concerning the two chambers of Congress.

Polling main as much as the election closely advised a powerful evening for Republicans within the Home of Representatives. It takes 218 seats to win a majority within the Home, and the GOP solely wanted a internet achieve of 5 to take the bulk. It nonetheless appears possible that Republicans will choose up these 5 seats, nevertheless it’s more and more clear that the massive majority some within the social gathering had been anticipating received’t materialize.

That might make sustaining cohesion in a caucus that incorporates a broad spectrum of ideologies, starting from moderates to members of the alt-right, tough. Precisely how a lot of a majority the GOP has will change into clearer as soon as California finishes its tally, one thing that would take weeks to do.

Who’ll management the Senate remains to be utterly unsure. Republicans want to select up not less than two seats to win management of that chamber, given Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman’s success in flipping present GOP Sen. Pat Toomey’s seat. Republicans are favored to tug out a win in Alaska, leaving Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia because the decisive elections within the race for a majority. Democrats had been forward in Arizona as of Friday morning, however Nevada’s race stays too near name, whereas Georgia’s race will probably be determined with a runoff on December 6.

It’s potential management of the Senate may depend upon Georgia; and if that’s the case, Individuals received’t know which social gathering has the bulk till December. That’s as a result of underneath Georgia regulation, if no candidate wins greater than 50 p.c of the vote outright — one thing neither Democrat Sen. Raphael Warnock nor GOP candidate Herschel Walker had been in a position to accomplish — the race goes to a runoff.

Management of the Senate is up within the air

Arizona: Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly is seeking to win his first full six-year time period towards Republican challenger Blake Masters. He’s forward as of Friday morning with almost 90 p.c of the anticipated vote counted, based on the Related Press.

Kelly was propelled to workplace in a 2020 particular election to fill a vacant seat after his profession as an astronaut, and offered Democrats with a key vote for his or her legislative agenda within the final two years. Masters drew some enthusiasm from the GOP base as an unabashed hard-right candidate, however he was additionally a outstanding instance of Republicans nominating an excessive candidate in a swing state. If the social gathering finally ends up falling brief in its bid to take over the Senate, count on numerous agonizing over the standard of the candidates (or lack thereof) that the GOP put ahead in pivotal campaigns this 12 months.

Georgia: After neither candidate received greater than 50 p.c of the vote, incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock will face Republican Herschel Walker in a December runoff. Meaning Georgia may once more determine management of the Senate, following runoff elections in 2020 that put Warnock and Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA) in workplace and clinched the bulk for Democrats. Anticipate an unlimited blitz of campaigning and advert spending within the state over the following few weeks. Democrats will doubtless proceed to hunt to capitalize on scandals over Walker’s earlier affairs and revelations he had paid for abortions regardless of saying on the marketing campaign path he was staunchly anti-abortion.

Nevada: Republican Secretary of State Adam Laxalt leads Democrat Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto narrowly as of Friday morning, based on the Related Press. Tens of 1000’s of votes stay to be counted, many in areas that favor Cortez Masto, the primary Latina elected to the Senate. Meaning the race remains to be too near name.

There’s truly just one Senate seat that’s modified fingers to date — and it flipped to the Democrats.

Pennsylvania: After a really tight battle, Democratic candidate John Fetterman defeated Republican Mehmet Oz to flip the Republican-held open seat in Pennsylvania. He’ll change retiring Republican Sen. Pat Toomey. The race noticed an sudden twist earlier within the marketing campaign when Fetterman suffered a stroke, and Oz appeared to shut the hole because the race wound down.

However thanks, partially, to the power of Democratic gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro on the prime of the ticket and a extra favorable setting for Democrats total, Fetterman ended up successful on Tuesday with out having to sweat it an excessive amount of.

Lengthy-shot Republican alternatives that seemed to be in play if the out-of-power social gathering had a wonderful evening throughout the board shortly slipped away Tuesday evening as soon as it turned clear a crimson wave was not going to materialize. Most notably:

New Hampshire: Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan comfortably received reelection after a couple of weeks of tight polls, Republican confidence, and Democratic anxiousness. Hassan beat GOP nominee Don Bolduc, a far-right candidate who claimed Trump received the 2020 election and helps the rollback of abortion rights.

However in a single vivid spot for Republicans, they didn’t lose the Senate election in Wisconsin.

Wisconsin: The state had appeared safely in hand earlier than Election Day, earlier than the precise vote-counting started and the race turned out to be surprisingly shut. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson eked out a victory over Democrat Mandela Barnes, however the tightness of this race was an indication of peculiar Democratic power throughout the nation.

Republicans are poised to take the Home, nevertheless it’s shut

Management of the Home stays within the steadiness. There’s nonetheless a risk that it may go Democrats’ approach, although projections by a number of information organizations recommend that Republicans will win it by a slim margin. That’s far wanting expectations: Heading into election evening, the Cook dinner Political Report projected that the GOP would choose up between 12 and 25 seats.

Republicans did nicely in Florida, whereas Democrats had been in a position to defend a few key seats focused by Republicans in Virginia. In deep crimson Texas, a well-funded Republican marketing campaign did not flip seats within the border area of the Rio Grande Valley, regardless of indicators that Latino voters have gravitated towards the GOP in latest elections.

For Republicans, that’s a disappointing consequence after they appeared to have momentum within the last weeks of the marketing campaign, as issues about inflation dominated within the polls and their closing message on crime appeared to resonate. Democrats had been additionally dealing with headwinds: It’s typical that the social gathering of the incumbent president fares worse in midterm elections, and President Joe Biden’s approval scores, although barely up from their earlier low, are nonetheless underwater. Democrats additionally confronted a wave of retirements, and redistricting was seen to have favored Republicans.

However what is definite is that as speaker of the home, Home Minority Chief Kevin McCarthy would have his work minimize out for him when it comes to wrangling a divided GOP caucus. Republicans’ poor displaying on election evening may jeopardize his probabilities of successful the speakership, and even when he’s profitable, his predecessors in GOP management, former Home Audio system John Boehner and Paul Ryan, each retired from politics after presiding over slim Republican majorities, which made them topic to the whims of the social gathering’s proper wing.

Democrats largely held their floor in governors’ races

Democrats had been in a position to defend virtually the entire key governorships focused by Republicans, although a couple of races have but to be determined.

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers each received robust reelection fights after campaigning on their opposition to pre-Roe abortion bans that Republicans have sought to implement of their states. New York Gov. Kathy Hochul received a full time period, turning into the state’s first lady elected governor, after dealing with an unusually credible Republican problem from Rep. Lee Zeldin amid issues within the blue state over public security and the financial system.

Incumbent Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly, one in every of 4 Democratic governors in states that voted for Trump in 2020, fended off Republican Kansas Lawyer Common Derek Schmidt. And in Pennsylvania, the place incumbent Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf is term-limited, Democrat Josh Shapiro defeated Doug Mastriano, a key determine in Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 election leads to the state.

As anticipated, Democrats had been additionally in a position to choose up two GOP-held governorships in Maryland and Massachusetts and simply held the road in Maine and New Mexico. Their solely main loss to date has are available Georgia: Democrat Stacey Abrams misplaced her bid to unseat incumbent Republican Gov. Brian Kemp.

Oregon is a reliably blue state that hasn’t elected a Republican governor since 1982, however Republican Christine Drazan gave Democrat Tina Kotek, who will change into one of many first overtly lesbian governors, a tough problem. The race was aggressive partially as a result of a 3rd unaffiliated candidate, Betsy Johnson, appeared to siphon some votes away from Kotek, who was in the end declared the winner on Friday.

The governors’ races in Nevada and Arizona stay too near name.

In Nevada, incumbent Democratic Gov. Steve Sisolak is locked in a decent race with Republican Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, who was endorsed by Trump. Sisolak was elected in 2018 as the primary Democratic governor within the state in 20 years, however got here underneath fireplace for his pandemic restrictions, underneath which tourism, journey, and conferences within the state floor to a halt with devastating impacts on the native financial system.

In Arizona, Republican Gov. Doug Ducey is term-limited, and the Republican operating to succeed him, Trump-endorsed Kari Lake, is a rising GOP star who has embraced the previous president’s 2020 election lies. The Democrat, present Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, has framed the race as a selection between “sanity and chaos.”